So, MotherJones.com, that bastion of political objectivity, has released a clandestine recording of a private fundraiser for Mitt Romney. Fielding a question from one of his wealthy contributors Romney explained his campaign strategy, including a charming description of Barack Obama’s freeloading base. Some are saying this video is the silver bullet that will put down the Romney campaign for good, others are saying Romney should trumpet the clip from the podium. Ironically, these two interpretations break exactly along partisan lines, which was precisely the point of the comment. As a non-voter who’d rather gouge out my eyes than vote for either of these sociocrats I’m in a unique position to offer some much needed objectivity.

First and foremost, let’s not pretend that holding private fundraising dinners with small groups of rich donors is uniquely Republican. Chances are they are the same wealthy benefactors sitting at Obama’s fundraisers. The government is bought and paid for, and both candidates were firmly in the pockets of bankers and military contractors before you’d ever heard of them. So, let’s not pretend anything we’re discussing right now is actually important. In fact, this scandal is exactly the mirror image of comments Obama made in front of wealthy contributors in leftie San Francisco in 2008. Obama said some Americans were not going to vote for him because they “cling to their guns or religion.” A gaffe that made many headlines and zero difference in the election, just like Romney’s gaffe.

As a libertarian myself I have the magical ability to hear Republican and Democrat dog whistles and still think for myself. So, how about a factual analysis of Romney’s comment, instead of the partisan mud fight you’re reading everywhere else. Here’s what Romney actually said:

“There are 47% of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right, there are 47% who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it. That that’s an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what… These are people who pay no income tax. 47% of Americans pay no income tax. So our message of low taxes doesn’t connect… So, my job is not to worry about those people. I’ll never convince them they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives. What I have to do is convince the 5-10% in the center that are independents.”

So, right off the bat… it’s factually inaccurate to say that 47% are going to vote for Obama no matter what because the vast majority of Americans simply don’t vote at all, and good for them. In 2008 only 57% of voting age Americans actually voted and that was the highest turn out since Nixon v. Humphrey in 1968. So, why’s he saying 47%? Well… remember this headline from a year ago?

Conservatives launch “We are the 53%” to criticize 99 percenters

100 minus 53 is… 47%. Romney is appealing to the anti-Occupy conservatives who point out accurately that according to the Tax Policy Center 53% of the population carries the entire income tax burden.

When Obama said that frustrated voters cling to their guns and religion many conservatives were outraged, and then they flooded out to their Tea Party rallies carrying signs that said, “I’ll keep my bible, guns and money. You can keep your change.” They essentially said he was right, even though they hated him for it.

So here’s my question… Now that the Occupy Movement is starting up again do you think any of the 99 percenters will be holding signs saying they feel entitled to heath care, food and housing? And if asked, don’t you think they’d say they believe the government is responsible for providing it to them? And if the government gives them heath care, food and housing aren’t they dependent on government? And if the government denies them heath care, food and housing won’t they feel like victims?

So, other than having the percentage wrong, isn’t what Romney said completely factually accurate? It would be a complete waste of time for Romney to head down to Occupy Wall Street and try to win votes, just as it would be for Obama to attend a Tea Party rally and try to win votes. Everyone knows this. This is how democracy works. No election has ever been decided by loud populist movements demanding real radical reforms. They are always decided by the 5-10% of swing voters. That’s why elections can never achieve actual political change.

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